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Jack Tatum: BadassPredicting the NFL.
San Diego Chargers -- 11-5
All but two of their losses a year ago were by more than a touchdown. Several were just a field goal.
A fine line between 9-7 and 11-5. I think they make up that difference this year. I think. Another reason I think they pick up two games is injuries. They never got more than 10 games from either Antonio Gates, Malcolm Floyd and just five from Vincent Jackson. They didn't figure out the running game situation (Mike Tolbert-Ryan Mathews) until halfway through the season. Somehow, Philip Rivers had 4,700 yards passing with no 1,000-yard receivers (leading receiver was Gates with 782 yards). Won seven of last nine a year ago.Kansas City Chiefs -- 9-7
Have you seen the ages of this playoff team from a year ago? About six guys in their 30s. None of them are key guys. Every very important player on this team is in their 20s. It's hard to judge their 10-6 year properly playing in the mediocre and they had an incredibly easy schedule. Their wins last year: San Diego, Cleveland, San Francisco, Jacksonville, Buffalo, Arizona, Seattle, Denver, St. Louis and Tennessee. Two total playoff teams and they beat one (Seattle). Still think they are very talented and 10 wins will be a lot harder to get to.
Oakland Raiders -- 7-9
Can they survive another season with their leading receiver (Zach Miller), top corner (Nnamdi Asomugha) and zero quarterback production? A flukey 6-0 division record skews their 8-8 last year. Enough bums on the sked to get them close to .500.
Denver Broncos -- 3-13
The Broncos can't defend. Allowed the most points in the AFC. Addressed the defense to the nth degree in the draft. Little else has been done to improve things. Their best bet is to keep things close at home and hope the offense provides something. Thinking if things go sourly early that Kyle Orton will find himself on the bench to see Tim Tebow and Brady Quinn get snaps. A franchise in turmoil.
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