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The Dallas Mavericks may let Tyson Chandler slip away to Golden State or Houston with the sole purpose of going after point guard Deron Williams next summer.The flexibility of letting Chandler walk and Jasons Terry and Kidd coming off the book (about $20 million) should be around a payroll of $50 million plus.
All of this sounds good. Williams is a very nice point guard, who can shoot, create, a good passer, a local kid and a brilliant complement to an aging Dirk Nowitzki and whatever pieces the Mavericks put together. A clear passing of the torch from Kidd to Williams.
Here are the problems:
1. By letting Chandler go, you are raising the white flag on 2011-12. Chandler was too important defensively and he brought a certain amount of swagger that you can't purchase or teach. No way the Mavs repeat or come close without Chandler or at least a good substitute. And I don't know who that is.
2. There's a trillion things that could happen. Williams could get hurt. He could wind up being traded by the New Jersey Nets to a team willing to re-up him on the spot. Maybe the Nets make a move -- they want to keep Williams -- and the crazy Russian owner throws a ton of money at Williams. Effectively, Williams may not even be on the market.
3. It is well-noted that Williams would need to take less money to come to the Mavericks. Most think he could get $100 million. Early thoughts are that the Mavericks could offer him four years, $74 million.
4. The Mavericks suck at free agency. The last good free agent they sniped from another team was Erick Dampier and we know exactly how that turned out.
5. The Mavs are not in a power position. Players are jockeying to form these super-teams with Chris Paul and Dwight Howard maybe going to Los Angeles, Chicago or New York. Why? To play with Carmelo Anthony, Kobe Bryant or Derrick Rose. Superstars want to play -- or whatever reason -- with other superstars. The Mavericks have one superstar and he's the dorkiest superstar just this side of the Hick from French Lick. They have very little trade pieces (Roddy Beaubois) outside of maybe the expiring deals of Kidd and Terry, which seams like a sorry move following a championship.
The question is this: How much do you trust Mark Cuban and Donnie Nelson? I realize they put together a team that won a world championship. But I trust them about as far as I can throw them, especially in luring a high-profile free agent.
These are dark, dark days my friends.
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